emergence, Tag

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I’m a visual guy. I understand numbers, but not in tables. I make them into graphs and charts and maps so I can understand what’s…

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach We have an experiential understanding of the effect of radiation on objects. Oh, not nuclear radiation, that’s something different. I’m talking about things like solar…

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach There’s an old saying about models—“All models are wrong, but some models are useful.” It’s often used to justify the existence of climate models. However,…

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Well, for my sins I’ve been working on a paper with the hope of getting it published in a journal. Now that it’s nearly done,…

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Clouds are said to be the largest uncertainty in climate models, and I can believe that. Their representation in the models is highly parameterized, each…

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I’ve said before that I consider myself a climate heretic rather than a climate skeptic. A skeptic doubts parts of things. A heretic questions the basic assumptions underlying the whole...

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Let me start explaining the link from Picasso to climate science by looking at what Dr. Nir Shaviv called “the most boring graph I have ever plotted in my life”. This is the graph...

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach After the turn of the century, I became interested in climate science. But unlike almost everyone else, I wasn’t surprised by how much the global temperature was changing. As someone...

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I got to thinking about the “hiatus” in warming in the 21st Century, and I realized that the CERES satellite dataset covers the period since the year 2000...

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Once on a lovely hot August day in eastern Oregon, my gorgeous ex-fiancee and I sat entranced and watched a parade of dust devils...

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach In a recent post, I discussed the new CERES Edition 4.0 dataset. See that post for a discussion of the CERES satellite-based radiation data, along with links to the data itself. In that post...

I came across a lovely photograph of a “fire devil”, also called a “fire whirl”. I liked it because the photo perfectly exemplified what is wrong with the current generation of climate models. What...

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I got to thinking again about the thunderstorms, and how much heat they remove from the surface by means of evaporation...

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach I’ve been looking again into the satellite rainfall measurements from the Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM)...

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach While I was involved in an interesting interchange with David Douglass here, I stumbled across an interesting discovery...