general circulation model, definition of
- General Circulation Model
A global, three-dimensional computer model of the climate system; GCM's are highly
complex and they represent the effects of such factors as reflective and
absorptive properties of atmospheric water vapor, greenhouse gas
concentrations, clouds, annual and daily solar heating, ocean
temperatures and ice boundaries. The most recent GCM's include global
representations of the atmosphere, oceans, and land surface.
They are often used to model the effects of human induced climate change into the future; but the accuracy of the models are highly dependent upon:
- The accuracy of the initial starting conditions;
- The accuracy of how the climatic processes are modeled, and;
- The accuracy of the assumptions made in the model construction.
Like all modeling systems that attempt to predict the future the further they attempt to 'look' into the future the more inaccurate they become with respect to reality.
Related Tags: environment, climate, atmosphere
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