forecasting, Tag

Although Project 2025 has hits and misses regarding NOAA,  NOAA acutely needs reform.   Major reform.   Reform that will enable it to serve its mission better.   Reform that will make it more effective and reduce...

Steve Milloy of JunkScience summed it up aptly by calling Mann’s prediction “the wrongest count ever predicted.” While that might sound harsh, it’s tough to argue with the numbers. Mann didn’t just miss the bullseye—he...

Maue suspects various reasons: The eruption of the Hunga Tonga volcano or a lot of Saharan dust over the Atlantic. Maue notes that the absence of hurricanes does not completely contradict the conventional theories on climate...

As I noted at the time, the Met Office’s warning did not even tally with their own 3-Month Outlook, and was clearly designed as pure spin intended to scare the public.

Professional climate alarmist Michael Mann said human-caused global warming would prime the Atlantic Ocean to produce 33 named storms and several major hurricanes to lash the United States...

In any case, our actual forecast is looking darn good.

Could somebody remind me why we need a Met Office?

He had predicted “a summer of hell with almost complete certainty”. We reported. As early as March 2024, some meteorologists raised concerns about this forecast.

Hurricane Season 2024 officially kicks off Saturday, June 1 and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicts a more-active-than-normal season in the Atlantic.

...given the poor track record of the past, there’s a good chance that NOAA and the media will have egg on its collective face again at the end of 2024

Climate science keeps contradicting itself

We anticipate that the 2024 Atlantic basin hurricane season will be extremely active.

One of the most notable AI advances in recent years has come with the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts which is generating experimental AI forecasts that are made available to the public.

However, they do one thing pretty well: putting out doomsday scenarios and creating fear.

Overall the NOAA had been forecasting a very mild winter for this year. But that forecast has been cooled down a bit, at least the early part of the winter.